Jerez vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 1
JER
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
JER
2 - 5
CPC
19%
25%
56%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DBN
1 - 0
JER
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
JER
2 - 0
ARR
78%
16%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PUE
3 - 1
JER
20%
25%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
MOR
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAL
21%
22%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
COR
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 3
PLA
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 1
CAL
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |