Jerez vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CDB
0 - 0
JER
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
JER
1 - 0
LAN
32%
30%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 0
JER
49%
27%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
JER
2 - 1
BET
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ECI
0 - 1
JER
49%
28%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
VEC
24%
30%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MER
0 - 1
CDB
25%
30%
45%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MER
0 - 2
ULP
24%
29%
47%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
BET
0 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |