Jerez vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
37.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 0
JER
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
JER
0 - 0
DBN
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
JER
0 - 1
MAR
38%
30%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
MEL
1 - 0
JER
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
JER
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 0
EXT
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SEV
2 - 0
AGD
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 1
AGD
22%
28%
50%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
AGD
1 - 1
CDL
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |