Jerez Industrial vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VVA
1 - 1
JER
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
JER
3 - 0
SCF
60%
22%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 1
JER
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
JER
0 - 0
DHE
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 1
JER
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
LUC
2 - 3
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAL
4 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MON
2 - 3
LUC
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VVA
2 - 1
LUC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |