Jerez Industrial vs At. Cortegana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
CAR
3 - 0
JER
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VVA
2 - 0
JER
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
JER
6 - 2
CRD
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 1
JER
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
JER
1 - 3
BAL
43%
29%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
At. Cortegana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
ATC
2 - 3
VVA
20%
27%
54%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 3
ATC
73%
18%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ATC
0 - 5
BOL
33%
27%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
ATC
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
ATC
1 - 1
AGU
19%
26%
56%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |