JEF United vs Gainare Tottori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 1
JEF
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
JEF
0 - 1
TOK
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 0
JEF
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 0
JEF
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
MIT
1 - 0
JEF
26%
26%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gainare Tottori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
GAI
0 - 5
TOC
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
KAT
4 - 2
GAI
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GAI
0 - 1
ROA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 0
CON
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
FAG
2 - 1
GAI
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |