JEF United vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
KAR
0 - 2
JEF
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
JEF
0 - 2
SHO
66%
18%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
KYO
0 - 2
JEF
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
JEF
0 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
GAM
1 - 1
JEF
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 2
TOK
21%
25%
55%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
NAG
3 - 1
AVI
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
AVI
1 - 2
URA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
JUB
3 - 0
AVI
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |