JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JDFS Alberts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
TUK
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
2 - 1
ALB
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 2
DRS
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 2
SAL
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 0
DRS
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SAL
4 - 0
SMI
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 0
SMI
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 4
GRO
21%
20%
58%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 3
SMI
5%
9%
86%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |