JCAT vs ASEC Mimosas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
26.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JCAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
SOA
2 - 4
JCA
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
JCA
0 - 0
BIN
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 1
JCA
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JCA
1 - 0
OUR
41%
30%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
AFA
2 - 1
JCA
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
ASE
2 - 0
DEN
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BIN
0 - 0
ASE
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ASE
0 - 2
SOA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AFA
0 - 0
ASE
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ASE
0 - 1
JCA
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |