III Liga round 29

Jarota Jarocin vs Starogard Gdański analysis

Jarota Jarocin Starogard Gdański
37 ELO 40
-13.1% Tilt -7.5%
20364º General ELO ranking 8948º
324º Country ELO ranking 184º
ELO win probability
39%
Jarota Jarocin
23.3%
Draw
37.7%
Starogard Gdański

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
Jarota Jarocin
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.6%
Win probability
Starogard Gdański
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jarota Jarocin
-3%
-3%
Starogard Gdański

ELO progression

Jarota Jarocin
Starogard Gdański
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jarota Jarocin
Jarota Jarocin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2018
PEL
Wierzyca Pelplin
1 - 1
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
18%
20%
62%
38 24 14 0
05 May. 2018
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
1 - 2
Centra Ostrów
CEN
73%
17%
10%
38 24 14 0
01 May. 2018
WDA
Wda Świecie
1 - 4
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
32%
24%
45%
37 28 9 +1
28 Apr. 2018
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
1 - 1
Górnik Konin
GKP
61%
22%
18%
38 32 6 -1
21 Apr. 2018
EGP
Energetyk Gryfino
0 - 3
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
9%
18%
73%
37 16 21 +1

Matches

Starogard Gdański
Starogard Gdański
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2018
KSG
Starogard Gdański
1 - 2
Polonia Środa
PSR
58%
21%
21%
41 37 4 0
05 May. 2018
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
2 - 3
Starogard Gdański
KSG
58%
23%
19%
40 45 5 +1
01 May. 2018
KSG
Starogard Gdański
0 - 0
Sokół Kleczew
SOK
46%
25%
29%
40 40 0 0
28 Apr. 2018
SKO
Świt Skolwin
0 - 1
Starogard Gdański
KSG
65%
21%
15%
39 47 8 +1
21 Apr. 2018
KSG
Starogard Gdański
1 - 0
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
KOT
23%
25%
52%
37 47 10 +2