Jarota Jarocin vs Gwardia Koszalin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarota Jarocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SKO
3 - 4
JAR
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CHW
2 - 0
JAR
26%
23%
52%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 1
LPO
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PSZ
1 - 1
JAR
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
3 - 0
VIN
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Gwardia Koszalin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GWA
2 - 1
CHW
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
GWA
1 - 0
PSZ
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
VIN
0 - 0
GWA
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GWA
2 - 2
PSR
28%
25%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TKP
0 - 1
GWA
59%
23%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |