Jarama Race vs La Cabrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jarama Race
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDO
1 - 2
JRR
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
JRR
2 - 2
ESP
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 5
JRR
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JRR
3 - 0
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SSD
1 - 5
JRR
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Cabrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LCB
5 - 3
LCM
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
PED
2 - 1
LCB
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LCB
0 - 2
ALD
28%
23%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VBL
4 - 0
LCB
76%
15%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDO
3 - 0
LCB
67%
18%
15%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |