JaPS vs Sudet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JaPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
FUT
2 - 1
JAP
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
JAP
3 - 0
MIK
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
2 - 0
JAP
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
JAP
2 - 5
KOO
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 2
JAP
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sudet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 1
ATL
19%
20%
61%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
HIF
1 - 1
SUD
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MIK
4 - 1
SUD
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 2
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 2
JAP
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |