JäPS III vs JäPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
71.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JäPS III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
JPC
2 - 7
JAP
44%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FCD
3 - 7
JAP
41%
22%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 3
FCK
12%
15%
73%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCW
1 - 2
JAP
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 4
KAP
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | -2 |
Matches
JäPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
LPA
1 - 2
JAP
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
5 - 0
FUT
35%
21%
44%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PPJ
7 - 1
JAP
68%
17%
16%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
MYP
27%
20%
53%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 3
PPJ
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |