Denmark Third Division Round 30

Jammerbugt vs Varde analysis

Jammerbugt Varde
59 ELO 41
12.2% Tilt 7%
21749º General ELO ranking 20600º
234º Country ELO ranking 216º
ELO win probability
75.7%
Jammerbugt
16%
Draw
8.4%
Varde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
Jammerbugt
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.4%
Win probability
Varde
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Jammerbugt
Varde
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jammerbugt
Jammerbugt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2011
BRA
Brabrand
0 - 0
Jammerbugt
JAM
25%
26%
49%
59 51 8 0
02 Jun. 2011
JAM
Jammerbugt
2 - 0
VSK Aarhus
SKI
70%
18%
12%
59 49 10 0
29 May. 2011
SVE
Svendborg
2 - 2
Jammerbugt
JAM
30%
25%
45%
59 48 11 0
20 May. 2011
OTB
Otterup
0 - 4
Jammerbugt
JAM
25%
24%
52%
59 40 19 0
14 May. 2011
JAM
Jammerbugt
1 - 0
Tjørring
TJO
76%
15%
9%
59 42 17 0

Matches

Varde
Varde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2011
VAR
Varde
0 - 0
Tjørring
TJO
62%
20%
18%
41 38 3 0
02 Jun. 2011
THI
Thisted
2 - 0
Varde
VAR
71%
17%
12%
41 53 12 0
28 May. 2011
VAR
Varde
3 - 5
Rishøj
RIS
49%
23%
28%
43 45 2 -2
20 May. 2011
MID
Middelfart
2 - 1
Varde
VAR
47%
23%
30%
44 40 4 -1
14 May. 2011
VAR
Varde
2 - 0
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
20%
22%
58%
42 61 19 +2