James Madison vs William & Mary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
James Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EPX
0 - 2
JMD
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DLW
0 - 3
JMD
13%
18%
69%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
JMD
1 - 0
CCR
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UCF
2 - 1
JMD
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
HFP
0 - 0
JMD
51%
21%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
William & Mary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WMM
1 - 0
CCR
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
HFP
4 - 1
WMM
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WMM
1 - 2
NTH
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
EPX
2 - 1
WMM
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
WMM
0 - 1
JMD
24%
21%
56%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |