Jamaica vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
GUY
2 - 1
JAM
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1971 |
CUB
0 - 0
JAM
53%
20%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1971 |
JAM
0 - 1
CUB
62%
18%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1969 |
JAM
2 - 1
HTI
45%
22%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
JAM
0 - 1
SLV
55%
20%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 0
URY
36%
28%
37%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
HTI
0 - 1
URY
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1973 |
ISR
1 - 2
URY
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1973 |
URY
4 - 0
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1973 |
URY
0 - 1
COL
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |