Jamaica vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
1 - 2
CUB
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
JAM
3 - 2
NGA
33%
30%
37%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
ZAF
0 - 0
JAM
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 0
JAM
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
JAM
3 - 0
HTI
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
PRY
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
PRY
1 - 0
SLV
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 1
PRY
25%
26%
50%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
PRY
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
PRT
0 - 0
PRY
67%
21%
13%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |