CONCACAF Nations League League B Round 3

Jamaica vs Aruba analysis

Jamaica Aruba
79 ELO 40
-8.2% Tilt -3.4%
815º General ELO ranking 8941º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
86.3%
Jamaica
11%
Draw
2.7%
Aruba

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
Jamaica
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.4%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
2.7%
Win probability
Aruba
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jamaica
+3%
-21%
Aruba

ELO progression

Jamaica
Aruba
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jamaica
Jamaica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2019
GUY
Guyana
0 - 4
Jamaica
JAM
12%
19%
69%
79 52 27 0
07 Sep. 2019
JAM
Jamaica
6 - 0
Antigua and Barbuda
ATG
77%
17%
7%
79 54 25 0
04 Jul. 2019
JAM
Jamaica
1 - 3
United States
USA
17%
23%
61%
79 89 10 0
30 Jun. 2019
JAM
Jamaica
1 - 0
Panama
PAN
39%
27%
34%
79 80 1 0
26 Jun. 2019
JAM
Jamaica
1 - 1
Curaçao
CUW
66%
20%
14%
79 61 18 0

Matches

Aruba
Aruba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2019
ATG
Antigua and Barbuda
2 - 1
Aruba
ABW
63%
20%
17%
40 53 13 0
07 Sep. 2019
ABW
Aruba
0 - 1
Guyana
GUY
22%
21%
57%
41 52 11 -1
22 Mar. 2019
LCA
Saint Lucia
3 - 2
Aruba
ABW
50%
22%
28%
42 45 3 -1
17 Nov. 2018
ABW
Aruba
0 - 2
Montserrat
MSR
77%
14%
10%
43 24 19 -1
17 Oct. 2018
GLP
Guadalupe
0 - 0
Aruba
ABW
69%
19%
13%
42 58 16 +1