Jalapa vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
MUN
7 - 0
JAL
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
JAL
1 - 3
COM
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
JAL
1 - 1
LEO
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ZAC
0 - 0
JAL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CON
2 - 1
JAL
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
COM
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
VEN
1 - 0
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CON
3 - 0
HER
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
HER
2 - 1
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
LEO
1 - 0
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |