Landesliga Bayern North-East Round 17

Jahn Forchheim vs FC Herzogenaurach analysis

Jahn Forchheim FC Herzogenaurach
26 ELO 24
7.3% Tilt 4.5%
29043º General ELO ranking 11741º
850º Country ELO ranking 549º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Jahn Forchheim
18.9%
Draw
22.3%
FC Herzogenaurach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
Jahn Forchheim
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.3%
Win probability
FC Herzogenaurach
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jahn Forchheim
-54%
-28%
FC Herzogenaurach

ELO progression

Jahn Forchheim
FC Herzogenaurach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jahn Forchheim
Jahn Forchheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
SVM
SV Mitterteich
1 - 0
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
10%
17%
73%
28 17 11 0
01 Oct. 2022
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
1 - 1
Kickers Selb
KKS
69%
16%
15%
29 23 6 -1
20 Nov. 2021
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
7 - 0
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
65%
19%
17%
29 24 5 0
13 Nov. 2021
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
0 - 0
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
47%
22%
31%
29 30 1 0
06 Nov. 2021
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
3 - 2
FC Eintracht Münchberg
FCE
71%
16%
13%
28 22 6 +1

Matches

FC Herzogenaurach
FC Herzogenaurach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
FCH
FC Herzogenaurach
3 - 0
SV Mitterteich
SVM
71%
17%
12%
24 18 6 0
08 Oct. 2022
KKS
Kickers Selb
7 - 1
FC Herzogenaurach
FCH
37%
22%
42%
26 23 3 -2
02 Oct. 2022
FCH
FC Herzogenaurach
1 - 2
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
37%
22%
41%
27 30 3 -1
20 Nov. 2021
FCH
FC Herzogenaurach
4 - 1
FSV Stadeln
FSS
47%
23%
30%
27 26 1 0
13 Nov. 2021
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
0 - 2
FC Herzogenaurach
FCH
48%
21%
32%
26 25 1 +1