Oberliga Bayern North Relegation Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Jahn Forchheim vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
AHA
2 - 2
JFO
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
JFO
4 - 0
AHA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
JFO
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
JFO
3 - 0
TSU
86%
10%
5%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TGH
1 - 2
JFO
14%
17%
69%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
ERL
4 - 0
FRO
42%
26%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AHA
2 - 2
ERL
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AMM
3 - 1
ERL
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ERL
1 - 3
NEU
9%
18%
74%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AUB
2 - 0
ERL
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |