Oberliga Bayern Nord round 3

Jahn Forchheim vs SpVgg Ansbach analysis

Jahn Forchheim SpVgg Ansbach
31 ELO 25
13.3% Tilt 21.5%
27341º General ELO ranking 3582º
794º Country ELO ranking 149º
ELO win probability
61.2%
Jahn Forchheim
18.8%
Draw
20%
SpVgg Ansbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
Jahn Forchheim
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20%
Win probability
SpVgg Ansbach
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jahn Forchheim
-8%
+47%
SpVgg Ansbach

ELO progression

Jahn Forchheim
SpVgg Ansbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jahn Forchheim
Jahn Forchheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2018
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
2 - 2
Seligenporten
SEL
38%
23%
40%
30 36 6 0
15 Jul. 2018
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
3 - 3
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
22%
20%
59%
30 22 8 0
18 May. 2018
AMB
Amberg
1 - 7
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
9%
14%
77%
30 15 15 0
12 May. 2018
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
4 - 1
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
46%
22%
33%
29 30 1 +1
06 May. 2018
AMM
Ammerthal
2 - 2
Jahn Forchheim
JFO
31%
22%
47%
29 24 5 0

Matches

SpVgg Ansbach
SpVgg Ansbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2018
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
1 - 5
Erlangen-Bruck
ERB
68%
17%
15%
27 23 4 0
14 Jul. 2018
WUR
Würzburger Kickers II
0 - 4
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
27%
23%
51%
27 23 4 0
18 May. 2018
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
2 - 3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
20%
21%
59%
28 43 15 -1
12 May. 2018
JFO
Jahn Forchheim
4 - 1
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
46%
22%
33%
30 29 1 -2
05 May. 2018
ANS
SpVgg Ansbach
4 - 1
Amberg
AMB
88%
9%
4%
30 16 14 0