Lobos de la UPNFM vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
9º
29
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 0
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 0
CDG
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 2
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |