UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-5
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs FK Bodo Glimt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
JAG
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
PUS
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 2
HAU
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 3
BOG
29%
23%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 1
BOG
19%
22%
60%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 0
RIG
62%
20%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
BOG
3 - 1
ODD
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |