Jadran vs Zagorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAK
3 - 2
JAP
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
JAP
1 - 1
VRA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DUB
0 - 0
JAP
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JAP
3 - 3
OPA
34%
24%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
STU
3 - 2
JAP
39%
26%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ZAG
1 - 1
TRN
27%
25%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DUG
2 - 0
ZAG
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ZAG
0 - 3
HAS
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 0
ZAG
87%
10%
3%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ZAG
3 - 2
SEG
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +2 |