Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 1-1
Jacuipense vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 3
SDJ
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
1 - 1
JAC
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAH
0 - 0
JAC
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
JAC
4 - 1
GAL
30%
24%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
2 - 2
JAC
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
COT
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 3
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
FOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
PAR
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |