Jablonec vs Karviná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
2º
2º
32
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
40 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
41 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JAB
1 - 1
MBO
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JAB
0 - 0
ZLI
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SIG
1 - 0
JAB
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAB
2 - 3
BAN
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
JAB
0 - 3
VKP
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZLI
0 - 1
KAR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
BOH
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BAN
2 - 2
KAR
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 0
VKP
14%
21%
66%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HRA
2 - 1
KAR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |