J. Malucelli vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
4 - 1
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
JMA
1 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CCR
3 - 3
JMA
31%
25%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
ACP
51%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 0
LON
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LON
1 - 0
TCW
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NPR
0 - 1
LON
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |