Izarra vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
COM
0 - 2
IZA
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
IZA
1 - 1
RCF
25%
28%
47%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ZAM
0 - 0
IZA
67%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
IZA
2 - 0
CDG
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CUL
3 - 1
IZA
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
MIR
3 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 4
PON
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 1
LUG
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |