Izabal JC vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Izabal JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PET
2 - 1
IZA
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
IZA
1 - 2
ACH
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
TEC
3 - 1
IZA
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
IZA
3 - 2
DEP
17%
24%
60%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAC
2 - 1
IZA
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
COB
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
PET
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ACH
1 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |