Ivinhema vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ivinhema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 1
IVI
33%
22%
45%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
IVI
2 - 3
COS
39%
24%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
NAV
0 - 2
IVI
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
IVI
6 - 1
COR
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
COX
0 - 2
IVI
20%
20%
61%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 1
IVI
33%
22%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
AOU
2 - 1
AGU
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
2 - 1
AOU
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
3 - 2
COR
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PMS
0 - 0
AGU
37%
22%
42%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |