Itumbiara vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
ANA
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
ITU
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
ITU
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 1
RIO
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIL
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |