Itumbiara vs Canedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 1
RIO
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
ITU
3 - 1
IPO
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 2
ITU
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
ITU
4 - 3
RIO
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
INH
1 - 1
ITU
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Canedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 1
MIN
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 3
JAT
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
IPO
1 - 2
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 3
INH
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
NER
2 - 0
CAN
21%
21%
58%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |