Série C Grupo B. Jor. 17

Ituano vs Ypiranga FC analysis

Ituano Ypiranga FC
59 ELO 58
4.2% Tilt -11.4%
884º General ELO ranking 1222º
37º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Ituano
24.4%
Draw
20.4%
Ypiranga FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
Ituano
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.4%
Win probability
Ypiranga FC
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ituano
-17%
+15%
Ypiranga FC

ELO progression

Ituano
Ypiranga FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2020
ITU
Ituano
4 - 3
Boa EC
BOA
58%
25%
18%
59 56 3 0
14 Nov. 2020
CRI
Criciúma
0 - 2
Ituano
ITU
44%
28%
29%
58 58 0 +1
07 Nov. 2020
ECS
EC São José
0 - 1
Ituano
ITU
37%
29%
34%
58 56 2 0
30 Oct. 2020
ITU
Ituano
3 - 1
Brusque
BRU
42%
28%
30%
57 60 3 +1
25 Oct. 2020
LON
Londrina
1 - 0
Ituano
ITU
49%
26%
25%
57 58 1 0

Matches

Ypiranga FC
Ypiranga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2020
CRI
Criciúma
4 - 4
Ypiranga FC
YPI
45%
28%
27%
58 57 1 0
14 Nov. 2020
YPI
Ypiranga FC
2 - 3
Volta Redonda
VOL
44%
27%
29%
58 58 0 0
07 Nov. 2020
TOM
Tombense
2 - 0
Ypiranga FC
YPI
50%
27%
23%
59 61 2 -1
01 Nov. 2020
YPI
Ypiranga FC
2 - 1
São Bento
SAO
47%
27%
26%
58 57 1 +1
25 Oct. 2020
YPI
Ypiranga FC
2 - 1
Boa EC
BOA
51%
27%
21%
58 56 2 0
X