Ituano vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
ITU
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
ITU
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
2 - 1
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
XVD
1 - 4
ITU
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
MOG
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
PPE
0 - 1
MOG
73%
19%
9%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 3
SAO
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MOG
0 - 0
OES
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |