Copa Paulista Round 4

Ituano vs Grêmio Barueri analysis

Ituano Grêmio Barueri
67 ELO 40
-8.6% Tilt -12.7%
1148º General ELO ranking 20305º
48º Country ELO ranking 676º
ELO win probability
71.2%
Ituano
19%
Draw
9.8%
Grêmio Barueri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
Ituano
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.8%
Win probability
Grêmio Barueri
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Ituano
Grêmio Barueri
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ituano
Ituano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2015
SAO
São Bento
0 - 2
Ituano
ITU
35%
28%
37%
66 63 3 0
18 Jul. 2015
ITU
Ituano
3 - 1
Primavera SP
PRI
78%
15%
7%
66 45 21 0
28 May. 2015
GOI
Goiás EC
3 - 1
Ituano
ITU
65%
22%
13%
66 79 13 0
21 May. 2015
ITU
Ituano
2 - 0
Goiás EC
GOI
22%
26%
53%
65 80 15 +1
29 Apr. 2015
POR
Portuguesa
1 - 2
Ituano
ITU
45%
26%
28%
64 61 3 +1

Matches

Grêmio Barueri
Grêmio Barueri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2015
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
2 - 4
São Bento
SAO
17%
24%
59%
41 63 22 0
25 Jul. 2015
PRI
Primavera SP
1 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
46%
26%
29%
41 45 4 0
19 Jul. 2015
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 1
Paulista
PAU
28%
27%
46%
42 52 10 -1
19 Apr. 2015
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
5 - 1
Francana
FRA
55%
23%
22%
41 33 8 +1
11 Apr. 2015
PRI
Primavera SP
2 - 1
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
52%
25%
23%
42 49 7 -1