Ituano U20 vs América Mineiro U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
70%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
3 - 0
CRI
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 3
ITU
71%
17%
11%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 2
ITU
37%
25%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ITU
4 - 6
CRI
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ITA
1 - 3
ITU
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
América Mineiro U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 2
AME
13%
17%
71%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
DES
2 - 2
AME
12%
16%
72%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
AME
4%
14%
82%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 1
AME
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
CAP
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |