Paulista A3 1ª Fase. Jor. 14

Itapirense vs USAC analysis

Itapirense USAC
40 ELO 42
-19.5% Tilt -17.2%
6511º General ELO ranking 5076º
274º Country ELO ranking 199º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Itapirense
26.6%
Draw
38.5%
USAC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
Itapirense
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.6%
Win probability
USAC
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itapirense
-8%
-4%
USAC

ELO progression

Itapirense
USAC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itapirense
Itapirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2023
ITA
Itapirense
0 - 2
Desportivo Brasil
DES
27%
26%
48%
41 47 6 0
04 Mar. 2023
BAN
Bandeirante SP
0 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
49%
26%
26%
41 44 3 0
01 Mar. 2023
RBB
RB Brasil
1 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
61%
22%
17%
41 47 6 0
26 Feb. 2023
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
43%
26%
30%
41 39 2 0
18 Feb. 2023
GRE
Grêmio Prudente
2 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
55%
23%
22%
42 46 4 -1

Matches

USAC
USAC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2023
USA
USAC
3 - 2
Bandeirante SP
BAN
39%
25%
35%
41 44 3 0
04 Mar. 2023
DES
Desportivo Brasil
1 - 0
USAC
USA
54%
24%
22%
42 47 5 -1
01 Mar. 2023
USA
USAC
0 - 2
EC São Bernardo
BER
34%
26%
40%
43 48 5 -1
26 Feb. 2023
VOT
Votuporanguense
2 - 1
USAC
USA
52%
24%
24%
44 48 4 -1
18 Feb. 2023
USA
USAC
3 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
50%
24%
26%
43 41 2 +1
X