Itapirense vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
INT
1 - 0
ITA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 1
ECN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
OSV
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 0
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
RIO
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CAP
4 - 2
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SER
44%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
TAU
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
BAT
2 - 1
SAO
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |