Itapirense vs Grêmio Sãocarlense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
MOG
51%
25%
25%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
IND
39%
27%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
RIO
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 0
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 1
GDS
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 1
RIO
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MOG
0 - 2
GDS
69%
17%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
GDS
1 - 0
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |