Itapipoca vs Maranguape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
CEA
8%
18%
74%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Maranguape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
ITA
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUA
31%
28%
42%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
66%
20%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEA
7%
17%
76%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |