Itapipoca vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
59.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 3
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 3
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
ITA
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
ITA
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 3
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
HOR
16%
19%
65%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 3
HOR
38%
23%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
TIR
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |