Itapipoca vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
74.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
ITA
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
7 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
CEA
7%
17%
76%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
GUA
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |