Itapipoca vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
TIR
2 - 3
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 1
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
FER
3 - 1
ITA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
LIM
1 - 1
ITA
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ITA
4 - 2
QUI
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 1
QUI
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
CEA
3 - 2
4DE
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CEA
2 - 1
ICA
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
4DE
0 - 0
CEA
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |