Italy U19s vs Lithuania U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SVK
0 - 3
ITA
28%
24%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
CYP
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 30 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 4
ITA
10%
20%
70%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
LTU
1 - 0
ROU
14%
18%
69%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SRB
8 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
LTU
90%
8%
2%
|
31 | 77 | 46 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MLT
2 - 1
LTU
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
7 - 0
LTU
88%
10%
2%
|
32 | 74 | 42 | 0 |