Italy U21 vs Serbia y Montenegro Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 2
BLR
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
PRT
1 - 3
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia y Montenegro Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2004 |
SYM
3 - 2
HRV
22%
23%
55%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
3 - 0
SYM
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
SYM
5 - 1
NOR
22%
21%
56%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
WLS
0 - 1
SYM
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
SYM
1 - 0
ITA
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +2 |