Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
POL
0 - 3
ITA
36%
23%
41%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 3
ITA
30%
23%
48%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
6 - 1
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
POL
1 - 3
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SVN
2 - 0
ITA
11%
17%
71%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
POL
40%
23%
37%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
DEU
23%
23%
55%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 3
ITA
30%
23%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 1
CHE
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
POL
35%
24%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |