Italia U20 vs Portugal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ENG
1 - 1
ITA
42%
23%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 1
SRB
50%
22%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
POL
0 - 2
ITA
17%
19%
64%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SMR
0 - 1
ITA
9%
16%
75%
|
63 | 22 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 2
SUI
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
NOR
38%
24%
39%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
POL
46%
23%
31%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ROU
2 - 1
POR
23%
21%
57%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 2
GER
30%
25%
44%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
POR
0 - 4
ENG
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |