Italy U17 vs Portugal U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
DEU
1 - 3
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
AUT
1 - 4
ITA
30%
26%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
ROU
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
PRT
4 - 2
ISL
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
PRT
2 - 1
RUS
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HUN
1 - 0
PRT
23%
24%
52%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
RUS
1 - 2
PRT
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
PRT
2 - 1
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |